
Fri, 21 Nov 2025
This Sunday’s late kick-off at 4:30 pm GMT in the Premier League delivers one of the biggest fixtures of the Premier League season as league leaders Arsenal welcome fierce rivals Tottenham to the Emirates Stadium.
Odds Now football expert Terry Foord breaks down the key angles for this North London derby that takes centre stage in the top flight of English football this weekend.
Arsenal arrive here after what can only be described as a minor stumble. Their draw away at Sunderland stopped their run of ten consecutive wins in all competitions, and it also ended a stretch of eight clean sheets. Even so, Sunderland have been stubborn at home this season, so a point isn’t a disaster for Mikel Arteta’s side.
The Gunners’ form at the Emirates remains exceptional. They have taken four wins and a draw from five home matches, and their defensive numbers are elite. Their xGa of just 0.55 per home match is the second-best in the league, showing just how little they concede in front of their own fans.
Tottenham’s recent form paints a far more mixed picture. In their last six Premier League games, they have two wins, two draws, and two defeats — a perfect summary of their inconsistency. Thomas Frank has stabilised them, but they remain unpredictable from week to week.
However, Spurs’ away form this season has been superb. They sit top of the away table with four wins and a draw from five matches, making them the only team yet to lose on the road. Their defensive record is also impressive, with only three goals conceded away from home. That resilience is the biggest reason this derby might be more competitive than the outright betting suggests.
Arsenal hold the clear advantage in recent meetings. They are unbeaten in their last six against Spurs, winning five. At the Emirates, their dominance is even more pronounced: four wins and a draw in the last five.
The one consistent trend is that Tottenham tend to score here — they’ve found the net in each of those five trips. Goals are a regular feature in the derby overall. Nine of the last twelve have gone over 2.5 goals, and eight of those saw both teams on the scoresheet. The fixture tends to deliver drama.
If it wasn’t for Tottenham’s superb away form, this would be a straightforward call. Arsenal have the head-to-head advantage, stronger overall form, and far better defensive metrics. But the match odds reflect that, and the 2/5 on an Arsenal win is simply unplayable.
Given the scoring trends and Spurs’ reliable attacking output on the road, the smarter angle is Arsenal to win and both teams to score. It aligns with the flow of the recent derbies and the statistical profile of both teams.
In the bet builder, Declan Rice appeals to either score or assist. He offers set-piece involvement, long-range threat, and tends to step up in fixtures like this. Arsenal corners should also flow naturally; they are averaging 6.8 per match this season.
2.5pts – Arsenal to win and both teams to score – 23/10 (10bet)
0.5pts bet builder – Arsenal to win, Declan Rice to score or assist and Over 3.5 Arsenal corners - 9/4 (Bet365)
All prices correct at the time of writing. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Terry is a sports writer and tipster with two decades of betting industry experience, most recently featuring a long stint with Punters Lounge.
A keen follower of darts, snooker, football and many other sports, Terry loves getting creative to try and find an edge and particularly enjoys trying to factor the mental side of sport into his punting.
Away from the desk, he is also a long-suffering West Ham fan.
Terry is a sports writer and tipster with two decades of betting industry experience, most recently featuring a long stint with Punters Lounge.
A keen follower of darts, snooker, football and many other sports, Terry loves getting creative to try and find an edge and particularly enjoys trying to factor the mental side of sport into his punting.
Away from the desk, he is also a long-suffering West Ham fan.
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The most dramatic of north London derby endings 😮