
Tue, 31 Mar 2026
After being held to a frustrating 1-1 draw with Uruguay on Friday evening, Thomas Tuchel's England look to sign off their March international break with a win when Japan visit Wembley on Tuesday night.
Our football tipster Terry Foord takes a look at the contest and offers up his best bets.
England come into this match off the back of a frustrating 1-1 draw with Uruguay last week.
Despite dominating large spells, the Three Lions failed to convert their chances and were punished late on. That said, context matters – several key players were missing, and a stronger XI is expected here.
Uruguay didn’t register a shot on target until their 94th-minute penalty, which highlights how comfortable England were for most of the match. The main takeaway from that contest will be that games need to be killed off earlier, especially against better sides.
Tuchel is expected to recall several senior players, including Harry Kane. England’s defensive record remains incredibly strong under his stewardship, with no goals conceded from open play in over 600 minutes – a statistic that underlines their structure and control of matches in recent times.
Japan, however, arrive in excellent form. They have won their last four matches, including an impressive comeback victory from 2-0 down to beat Brazil 3-2. They’ve scored eleven goals across their last five games and are playing with confidence and attacking freedom.
Hajime Moriyasu’s side were also outstanding in World Cup qualification. They won all six matches in round two without conceding, scoring 24 goals, before topping their round three group with seven wins from ten, conceding just three and scoring 30. Their attacking output and organisation make them a genuine test for the hosts here.
These sides have met just three times, with England winning two and the other ending in a 1-1 draw back in 2004. The last meeting came in 2010, when England won 2-1 in a friendly.
Given the time gap and changes in both squads, those results carry little weight heading into this encounter.
This should be a much more open and entertaining match than the Uruguay fixture. Japan’s attacking style and current form suggest they will pose a threat, while England – especially with key players returning – should offer more cutting edge.
England are still the likely winners at Wembley, but Japan’s goal threat makes both teams to score an appealing angle alongside the home win.
Harry Kane’s return is significant. He remains England’s focal point, takes penalties and has an excellent scoring record, including eight goals in qualification. He looks a strong candidate to get on the scoresheet or contribute.
Given England’s expected attacking intent, adding corners and shots on target into a Bet Builder also makes sense, as they should dominate territory and create sustained pressure.
2.25pts – England to win and both teams to score – 13/5 (Bet365)
0.75pts – England to win, over 2.5 goals, England 6+ corners, England 5+ shots on target & Harry Kane to score or assist – 13/2 (Bet365)
0.5pts – England 3-1 Japan correct score – 12/1 (Bet365)
Total staked - 3.5pts
All prices correct at the time of writing. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Terry is a sports writer and tipster with two decades of betting industry experience, most recently featuring a long stint with Punters Lounge.
A keen follower of darts, snooker, football and many other sports, Terry loves getting creative to try and find an edge and particularly enjoys trying to factor the mental side of sport into his punting.
Away from the desk, he is also a long-suffering West Ham fan.
Terry is a sports writer and tipster with two decades of betting industry experience, most recently featuring a long stint with Punters Lounge.
A keen follower of darts, snooker, football and many other sports, Terry loves getting creative to try and find an edge and particularly enjoys trying to factor the mental side of sport into his punting.
Away from the desk, he is also a long-suffering West Ham fan.
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