Fulham vs Manchester United: 6/5 and 11/5 picks for Premier League clash
Sun, 24 Aug 2025
Sun, 24 Aug 2025
Fulham host Manchester United at Craven Cottage with both teams desperate to kick-start their Premier League campaigns with a first win of the season.
Our tipster Terry Foord takes a look at the Sunday showdown and offers up 6/5 and 1//5 wagers.
Fulham’s underlying numbers highlight some attacking struggles which have lingered from the back-end of last term.
Including last week's 1-1 draw at Brighton, the Cottagers have gone above one expected goal (xG) in only three of their last 12 Premier League matches.
Rodrigo Muniz’s stoppage-time strike at The Amex underlined their resilience, but Marco Silva’s side still rely heavily on brilliant moments rather than sustained attacking spells of dominance.
Defensively, Fulham had an expected goals against (xGA) of 1.56 against Brighton, which was slightly higher than their overall figure for 2024/25, where they averaged 1.28 xGA. So there's no obvious early improvement in that regard either – though it is a bit early to be making sweeping assumptions.
Manchester United, meanwhile, produced an impressive 22 efforts in their 1-0 loss to Arsenal for an xG of 1.59, while enjoying 62% possession.
However, wastefulness in front of goal once again proved costly. Ruben Amorim’s side averaged 13.8 shots per game last season but were hitting the target with only 4.6 per match, underlining a lack of clinical edge.
Despite the disappointment of leaving Old Trafford empty-handed last week, United registered 36 touches in the Arsenal box – a figure that shows their dominance in attacking positions.
Against Fulham, they will not be facing a world-class centre-back pairing and Amorim will expect his forwards to take advantage if the rest of his side can employ a similar level of control.
The head-to-head record is firmly in Manchester United’s favour. They are unbeaten in nine visits to Craven Cottage, winning their last eight.
During that run they have scored 18 goals while conceding just two, highlighting their dominance in West London.
Despite mixed views from pundits, I still anticipate the Red Devils having a good season and I think we might see a bit of a show from them on Sunday.
Their recent dominance at Craven Cottage is hard to ignore. Amorim will be desperate to get his first victory of the season on the board, and this looks a great chance against a Fulham side who continue to lack cutting edge.
At 6/5 with Bet365, the value is on United to come away with the win.
I thought Matheus Cunha looked very sharp for United after being given the full 90 minutes against Arsenal.
The Brazilian had four shots, three of which were on target, and it feels like just a matter of time before he opens his account for his new club.
He also has a strong record against Fulham from his Wolves days, scoring three in three meetings and hitting six shots on target across those games.
If he gets another full 90 minutes here, Cunha looks an appealing play at 11/5 with Bet365 to find the net.
2.5pts – Manchester United win – 6/5 (Bet365)
1pt – Matheus Cunha to score anytime – 11/5 (Bet365)
Terry is a sports writer and tipster with two decades of betting industry experience, most recently featuring a long stint with Punters Lounge.
A keen follower of darts, snooker, football and many other sports, Terry loves getting creative to try and find an edge and particularly enjoys trying to factor the mental side of sport into his punting.
Away from the desk, he is also a long-suffering West Ham fan.
Terry is a sports writer and tipster with two decades of betting industry experience, most recently featuring a long stint with Punters Lounge.
A keen follower of darts, snooker, football and many other sports, Terry loves getting creative to try and find an edge and particularly enjoys trying to factor the mental side of sport into his punting.
Away from the desk, he is also a long-suffering West Ham fan.
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