Liverpool vs Everton: Three betting tips for Merseyside Derby
Liverpool host Everton in the first Merseyside derby of the season in a 12:30pm pm BST kick-off at Anfield on Saturday. Can the reigning champions continue their winning start to the season with another victory here against a rejuvenated Toffees?
It is a match that holds so much passion and history. Arne Slot's team sit top of the Premier League title with a 100% record from 4 league games, while David Moyes has enjoyed an encouraging start with his Everton side, having lost just 1 of their first 4 league matches.
Odds Now football writer Steve Day picks out 5/2 and 9/4 bets for this first Merseyside derby of the 2025/26 campaign.
The Merseyside derby is always a fantastic occasion for the neutrals, but it might not be as joyous for one half of the city of Liverpool of late. The overall head-to-head record shows that Liverpool have won 126, Everton have won 84, and there have been 87 draws contested. It's been particularly positive for the Reds over recent years, with Liverpool winning 5 of the last 8 encounters.
It's fair to say that Anfield hasn't been a great hunting ground for the Toffees. Everton have only managed one victory at Anfield since 1999. That came in a 2-0 win on 20th February, 2021. That game was played behind closed doors due to the COVID-19 restrictions.
Everton manager Moyes will be looking to get a first away win in the 21st century for the club in a Merseyside derby in front of the fans. It sounds like an ominous task when it's phrased like that. No surprise that bookmakers are offering Everton to win as long as 6/1. Everton double chance at 9/5 might be more tempting if you're a Toffees supporter.
Witnessing a team with a 100% start to the season suffer criticism for their performances feels a little surreal, but such is the environment created by social media and everyone having an opinion these days.
Slot's side are sitting top of the Premier League, and those wins to begin the league campaign do include a 1-0 victory over their title rivals Arsenal. It's also clear that the 4-2 win at home to Bournemouth is going to prove to be a very positive result come the end of the season.
Still, sceptics are pointing out that Liverpool have made hard work of their wins so far. That's what title winners do, though, isn't it? Get the 3 points when they're not at their best. I wouldn't be surprised to see it happen again here. Liverpool to win and under 2.5 goals scored at 5/2 with Bet365 stands out for me. It certainly feels better value than the Liverpool to win and BTTS at 1.66/1 with Coral.
It's also worth considering draw HT/ Liverpool FT at 19/5 with Unibet. Three of the last four Merseyside derbies played at Anfield have been a draw at half-time, with Liverpool going on to win. Given how both teams have set up so far this season, I expect a cautious first half from both before the deadlock is broken in the second half.
One word to describe these Merseyside derby matches would be "fiery". The games are littered with yellow cards and sendings off down the years. James Tarkowski and Ibrahima Konate have picked up a couple of bookings over recent meetings.
It would be worth thinking about backing both to be carded in this encounter at odds of 9/4 and 10/3 respectively with Paddy Power. It's 13/1 to back both as a double with the same bookie if you think it'll be a blood bath.
In terms of total cards, it feels a bit risky backing over 5.5 cards to be shown in the game at 19/10 with Paddy Power. However, the value is a bit too short for me at over 4.5 cards at 20/23 with the Irish bookmaker. I find under 4.5 cards to be shown at 21/20 with 10Bet more appealing. Derbies aren't necessarily as feral as they used to be in the top flight these days.
As a little side bet, after his first appearance in Liverpool colours in the club's 3-2 win over Atletico Madrid in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday night, it could be worth looking at Alexander Isak as a first goalscorer at 21/5 with Virgin Bet. Mohamed Salah at 17/4 with Unibet is also a decent price.
3pts – Liverpool to win and under 2.5 goals scored - 5/2 (Bet365)
0.5pts - James Tarkowski to receive a card - 9/4 (Paddy Power)
0.5pts - Alexander Isak first goalscorer - 21/5 (Virgin Bet)
Steve Day is a seasoned content writer and editor for Odds Now, with over 15 years of experience in the sports betting industry.
Steve has written for a number of high-profile sites, including Football League World, Punters Lounge, and Cricket365.
His main area of expertise is football betting, where his understanding of the game and betting markets has enabled him to provide expert tips and analysis over the years. He also dips his toes into other sports including horse racing, cricket, and ice hockey.
Steve is a lifelong Cardiff City FC fan and is a follower of the Wales national football team. He can often be found taking in Glamorgan Cricket Club matches at Sophia Gardens and Cardiff Devils ice hockey matches at the Vindico Arena.
Steve Day is a seasoned content writer and editor for Odds Now, with over 15 years of experience in the sports betting industry.
Steve has written for a number of high-profile sites, including Football League World, Punters Lounge, and Cricket365.
His main area of expertise is football betting, where his understanding of the game and betting markets has enabled him to provide expert tips and analysis over the years. He also dips his toes into other sports including horse racing, cricket, and ice hockey.
Steve is a lifelong Cardiff City FC fan and is a follower of the Wales national football team. He can often be found taking in Glamorgan Cricket Club matches at Sophia Gardens and Cardiff Devils ice hockey matches at the Vindico Arena.
Steve's p/l
7 Days
30 Days
Year 2025
ISAK 9️⃣
