World Grand Prix 2025 darts quarter-final betting tips

There’s a box office Friday night in store at the World Grand Prix with four mouthwatering quarter-finals set to be played out at Leicester’s Mattioli Arena.

Our darts tipster Matt Hill is on hand with his thoughts in each of the contests and three bets across the action.

2025 World Grand Prix quarter final preview and betting tips

Danny Noppert vs Gary Anderson

This opening contest feels like the one where the match prices might be a bit out of kilter with where I’d have it, personally.

Gary Anderson is quite a strong favourite here but it’s hard to know how well the Scot will stand up to a sustained barrage of quality darts, which should be served up from Danny Noppert.

Noppert was right under the pump in his opener against Jermaine Wattimena. At a set and 1-0 down in the second, many would have wilted but not the Freeze, who surged to level the contest with three 180s in the final three legs of set two.

Then, in a decider, he had to pull another Houdini act, levelling from 0-2 behind and then pulling out a marvellous 158 checkout to win it.

There was to be no such drama against an (admittedly injured) Stephen Bunting, where he ran out a deserved 3-1 winner, firing in no less than nine maximums en route to victory.

What has really impressed me is that four of Noppert’s five sets won have came in deciding legs, living up to his nickname and remaining ice cold under the most intense of pressure.

Anderson has been solid enough but given what I’ve seen from both players in their first two matches, the 6/4 on Noppert prevailing here feels a really decent wager.

Luke Humphries vs Cameron Menzies

Pre-tournament Luke Humphries backers will be pretty satisfied at this stage with the world No1 having halved in price – now 3/1 for a second World Grand Prix title having gone off at 6s five days ago.

He’s done little wrong in two convincing victories over Nathan Aspinall and Krzysztof Ratajski and on paper, this looks another very manageable task against surprise quarter-finalist Cameron Menzies.

The Scot has proved a lot of his critics wrong, producing two solid big-stage performances to see off Premier League stars in Chris Dobey and Rob Cross – but there’s no doubt he’ll need to go up another level this evening.

What is encouraging for Menzies is the overall solidity of his game. In beating Dobey 2-0, he got off first visit in six of the eight legs played (75%). Against Cross, he improved that number again with 16/18 immediate starts (88%) Sustaining those kind of numbers will make him competitive, at least.

I’d say Menzies would need to be at his brilliant best to actually beat Humphries over best-of-five sets here, so the match prices look about right.

One possible angle in would be to back Cammy to win the first set, but Humphries to win the match.

If he does go 1-0 up (perfectly viable), Humphries will still be a very strong favourite to turn things around still and could make the 10/3 on such an occurrence look value for a speculative play.

But all told, it’s a no bet.

Luke Littler vs Gerwyn Price

The match of the night in terms of billing and from a neutral perspective, we’ll all be hoping this lives up to expectations. A potential classic, for sure.

What more can you say about Luke Littler? Brushing aside Gian van Veen 2-0 despite his fellow youngster averaging a tournament record 106.5 – a figure that earnt him just two legs off the Nuke, Ridiculous.

He’s 6/5 to win a first Grand Prix crown now and will be odds-on come tomorrow if he successfully passes what could prove his biggest test of them all against the ever-capable Gerwyn Price.

It may have been nigh-on four years since the Iceman lifted a major title but I think most are in agreement that he’s never looked more likely to break that drought.

He had to dig in to reverse a 0-1 deficit against Ryan Searle in round one, before sweeping aside Josh Rock 3-0 in a game bookmakers deemed too close to call. After winning a scrappy first set, Price went through the gears and didn’t look back.

I think he has a decent chance of success here – he’s clearly chomping at the bit to play Littler – but he does need a fast start. Littler is a brutal front-runner and this could just as easily be over in a flash if the Welshman is sluggish from the get-go.

Rather than playing the match market, I really do like the 11/10 on offer with Ladbrokes and Coral on 1+ bull finishes in the match. Both of these two love the centre of the board and it’s impossible to imagine this game playing out without at least three or four bullseye attempts on combinations.

Littler is also a lover of a 170 finish (see yesterday against Mike De Decker as a case in point), which he’ll do his best to leave on any occasion, while Price may need a big combination at a pivotal moment to turn the tide.

All considered, I’ll be more surprised if there isn’t a bull involved tonight, so the 11/10 represents value.

Jonny Clayton vs Dirk van Duijvenbode

Followers of my pre-tournament picks will know I’m now ‘all-in’ on Jonny Clayton from an outright perspective, having backed the Ferret for his quarter (10/3) and each-way for the title (28/1).

In terms of the quarter, it’s gone as well as you could hope really with the other three seeds – Michael van Gerwen, Ross Smith and Damon Heta – all exiting in round one and Jonny ticking along nicely with wins over Andrew Gilding and Luke Woodhouse.

However, there is one man that can really scupper my tournament tonight and that is the rejuvenated Dirk van Duijvenbode, who is yet to drop a set in his quest for a second Grand Prix final appearance.

The Aubergenius has to be one of the most frustrating players to follow, with his level ranging from the appalling to the obscene. Nobody plunders in maximums like Dirk in full flow, while the doubling can be wildly erratic.

But when that outer ring is firing, you better believe he’s dangerous.

It’ll be interesting to see if Dirk can sustain his success on the outer ring. He’ll need to if he’s to best Clayton – a dynamo in this format with his consistency and love for a two-treble visit.

I like a quirky angle here. The market expects Clayton to win this match but has Dirk a rightful favourite in the 180 line. As viewers, we naturally think one goes hand-in-hand with the other – but there’s no reason both of those outcomes won’t occur.

The Dutchman is the better maxi scorer of the pair but the game will be won and lost on the outer ring. So, can I see Dirk hitting three of four more 180s and still losing? Absolutely.

The 12/5 you get on Bet365’s Bet Builder tool by combining those selections is a more than fair quote, in the circumstances.

Matt Hill’s best bets for the World Grand Prix quarter-finals

2pts - Danny Noppert to beat Gary Anderson - 6/4 (various)

2pts - 1+ bull finish in Gerwyn Price vs Luke Littler - 11/10

1pt - Jonny Clayton to win but Dirk van Duijvenbode to hit the most 180s - 12/5 (Bet365)

Total staked - 5pts

*Prices correct as of 2pm on Friday October 10th 2025