Burnley vs Newcastle United: Betting Odds & Prediction

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Josh Gillen

Thu, 17 Jul 2025

Burnley vs Newcastle United: Betting Odds & Prediction
Burnley vs Newcastle United: Betting Odds & Prediction

Relegation-threatened Burnley host Newcastle United on Saturday afternoon as they continue to chase Premier League safety.

In the previous meeting, Newcastle beat Burnley 2-0 at St. James’ Park. Kick off is set for 3PM UK time.

Recent Form

Burnley

Vincent Kompany’s men come into the fixture on the back of a positive result away to Manchester United last week, drawing 1-1 at Old Trafford. The result gave them an important point in the fight for Premier League survival, but they are still two points from safety.

Burnley’s home form has been slightly worse than their away, averaging just 0.59 points per game (W2, D4, L11) at Turf Moor, compared to 0.78 points in away fixtures. Burnley have seen a negative goal difference of -20 in their home matches after scoring 17 and conceding 37 in 17 games.

They have an average of 12.76 shots per home game, with a disappointing 7.83% conversion rate. Burnley have also managed to score in just 58.82% of their home matches this season and scored two or more in 23.52% of those games.

Defensively, Burnley have conceded an average of 2.17 goals per game at home, so far. 64.70% of their fixtures have seen them ship at least two goals. Burnley have kept a clean sheet in just 5.88% of their home matches.

Newcastle United

Newcastle’s last game resulted in a 5-1 win over Sheffield United. Away from home, Newcastle have been disappointing this term, averaging just 0.88 points per game, compared to 2.17 points per game at home.

They have an average of 10.31 shots per away game, with a 15.75% conversion rate. They have managed to score in 68.75% of their away matches this season and scored two or more in 43.75% of those games.

Defensively, Newcastle have conceded an average of 2.12 goals per away game, so far. 68.75% of their away games have seen them ship at least two goals. Newcastle have kept a clean sheet in 12.5% of those games.

Prediction

Though the away side have no doubt struggled on the road, Newcastle have won four of their last six and are on course to land a strong finish this season. Burnley have no doubt picked up recently, but OddsNow back Eddie Howe's men to compound their relegation woes with a win on Saturday afternoon.

OddsNow's Pick: Newcastle United to win (21/20 @ QuinnBET)

Josh's p/l

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