Football betting tips: Back this 9/2 treble on the EFL’s final day
Another English Football League season comes to a close on Saturday – play-offs pending – in what is sure to be a dramatic final slate of the 2025-26 campaign.
Our resident lower league tipster Matt Hill has plucked out three sides he expects to bag much-needed victories across the three divisions, which combine for a 9/2 treble.
We start with the epic conclusion to what is now a three-way go for the last Championship play-off spot. Wrexham and Hull are tied on 70 points and separated by a single strike on goal difference, while waiting in the wings for slip-ups are Derby County on 69 points.
For the Rams to sneak in at the death, they need to win and see both of their rivals drop points. Improbable, right? Well, perhaps not. Wrexham host a Middlesbrough side who need a victory to ensure home advantage in their upcoming play-off semi-final, while Hull – at home to a decent Norwich outfit – are now winless in seven Championship outings, falling apart at the worst time.
It’s never nice waiting on other results to define your own fate, but all John Eustace’s men can do is take care of their own business and hope. They host a Sheffield United side who will already have one eye on next season, having failed to make up the ground required under Chris Wilder – who returned to S2 in September with the Blades rooted in the relegation zone.
Wilder always strikes me as the type of manager you’d want on side in a high-stakes game, but perhaps less so in an ultimately meaningless one. Eustace, meanwhile, continues to showcase himself as a top-class tactician and I back him to find a way for his hosts to get a crucial three points here on home turf.
All while Rams fans spend their afternoon nervously glancing at score updates elsewhere…
Three teams head into League One’s final day hoping to steal the final play-off spot and join Bolton, Stockport and Bradford in the annual end-of-season lottery. Though chasers Luton and Plymouth were far more prevalent in most punters’ ante post calculations, it is plucky little Stevenage who hold all the aces ahead of Matchday 46.
Alex Revell’s side have been defying underlying numbers all campaign but nobody can question their ability to grind out results when it matters – and I really do trust Boro to finish the job on Saturday with victory over 16th-placed Wigan, which would seal sixth spot.
The visiting Latics’ campaign descended into mediocrity after a frustrating last few weeks of Ryan Lowe’s doomed tenure and though Gary Caldwell has steadied the ship pretty well, their away form remains a real concern.
Wigan have only won three out of 22 games on the road in 2025-26. So, finishing a frustrating season with a long trip to a fired-up Stevenage, who in contrast have won 13 out of 22 home clashes, it’s hard to see them throwing a spanner in the works. Sorry, Luton and Plymouth fans!
I can only presume half the country have been laying off their ante post liabilities on MK Dons this week, given we are currently able to back Paul Warne’s men at 10/11 to get the three points they need to secure the League Two title at Fleetwood.
The visitors have made heavy weather of things truth be told, only overtaking surprise package Bromley last weekend. But the superior quality and depth in their ranks always felt likely to prove decisive in the season’s closing months.
Hosts Fleetwood deserve some credit for not completely going into ‘beach mode’. But the 15th-placed Cod Army are still winless in five and their 2-2 draw at fellow ‘beachers’ Shrewsbury last weekend came despite only mustering 0.37xg against a poor Salop outfit.
On the data, perhaps these prices are about right. But when you factor in the extra motivational levels of MK Dons, 10/11 seems simply too big. It's not every day you are 90 minutes from lifting a title, after all.
3pt treble - Derby to beat Sheffield United, Stevenage to beat Wigan + MK Dons to beat Fleetwood - 9/2 (Ladbrokes/ Coral/ Betfred/ Unibet)
*Prices correct as of 6pm on Thursday, April 30th 2026
Matt Hill is Odds Now's Head of Content and leads our digital operation, while also offering his insight as a tipster across darts and football.
Having worked in the industry for the best part of a decade, including extended stints with Betfred and LiveScore, Matt joined the project in May 2024 with the sole aim of making Odds Now a key player in the betting content space.
He has also forged a reputation as a respected darts tipster, landing numerous three-figure outright winners over the years, while his love for lower league football also helps him pick out the odd obscure winner in that space.
When not at the editorial desk, Matt enjoys travelling the country supporting his beloved Carlisle United FC, chucking a few arrows and spending time with his young family.
Matt Hill is Odds Now's Head of Content and leads our digital operation, while also offering his insight as a tipster across darts and football.
Having worked in the industry for the best part of a decade, including extended stints with Betfred and LiveScore, Matt joined the project in May 2024 with the sole aim of making Odds Now a key player in the betting content space.
He has also forged a reputation as a respected darts tipster, landing numerous three-figure outright winners over the years, while his love for lower league football also helps him pick out the odd obscure winner in that space.
When not at the editorial desk, Matt enjoys travelling the country supporting his beloved Carlisle United FC, chucking a few arrows and spending time with his young family.
Matt's p/l
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