Liverpool vs Manchester United: Three betting tips for Super Sunday
England’s two most decorated clubs do battle on Super Sunday as Liverpool host old foes Manchester United at Anfield.
Football tipster Matt Hill takes a closer look at what to expect from this latest dual of the fierce rivals and offers up three betting tips.
It’s rare that you see Liverpool lose three straight games in the modern era. In fact, those pre-international break defeats to Crystal Palace, Galatasaray and Chelsea were the first time Reds boss Arne Slot has suffered such a fate in his coaching career.
So, does that make this a good time or a bad time for Manchester United to try and get their first victory at Anfield in just shy of a decade?
Well, on the one hand, you could argue the home side – who have certainly not been their brilliant best this term – might be a bit vulnerable as they welcome a fired-up rival.
On the other, you’d simply point to United’s wretched away form to temper expectations.They have not won a Premier League game away from Old Trafford since beating relegation fodder Leicester 3-0 back in March – an eight game winless sequence.
So, Liverpool look fairly instilled as 8/13 favourites (various) with a top price of 17/4 about an away win rating the Red Devils’ chances of an upset at around 19%.
That’s not to say that United can’t make a game of it, though. Despite their dreadful Anfield record, the last seven meetings between the pair in all competitions have seen two victories apiece and three draws.
Ruben Amorim’s side are an interesting proposition defensively.
In one breath, they have only given up 64 shots in the Premier League this season – which is the league’s third-best tally, bettered only by Arsenal and Newcastle.
And yet, they rank as the fourth-worst side in the division when it comes to expected goals against (xGa) – suggesting that the chances they do give up to sides are particularly good ones.
In such a scenario, Liverpool’s forwards are a bunch you would deem capable of taking advantage. So, rather than backing ambitious shot tallies from more deep-lying home players, it may pay to keep things simple here.
It is the £116million man Florian Wirtz who looks the most appealing at the prices.
The German international is taking a fair bit of flack from online trolls who are revelling in his slow start in terms of output. Indeed, you’d have wanted a decent price on him not having a single goal or assist under his belt by this point of his Reds career when the signing was announced.
But the ex-Bayer Leverkusen star has been involved in the thick of things when offered an opportunity and it feels like a matter of time before things click for him on Merseyside.
There weren’t many positives for Liverpool to take from those three defeats but Wirtz did register a shot on target in both of the matches where he was afforded more than 60 minutes on the pitch.
I’m sure Slot will be desperate for the playmaker to find his feet properly and it feels like a good fixture to put him in from the start here.
The 17/20 for the German to manage a shot on target looks a good starting point.
Interestingly, the last three meetings between these two have seen the Red Devils pick up four yellow cards each time.
That trend holds up looking purely at the last three meetings at Anfield, with tallies of five, four and three respectively. Is it too simple to conclude this feisty contest brings some extra bite out of United?
Perhaps. But their exemplary disciplinary record this term to date means we have prices that tempt you into paying to find out.
Over 2.5 Manchester United cards is priced at 5/6, while the over 3.5 line – usually a banker in this fixture – is a hugely tempting 21/10.
Let’s take a chance that the emotions of a trip to their old foes brings the worst out of the Red Devils again.
For those chasing something a bit pricier, Diego Dalot has a bit of previous playing at Liverpool.
The Portuguese full-back has been booked in two of his last three Anfield trips – one of which escalated to a sending off.
He’s avoided the referee’s notebook so far this term but with a foul in each of his last three starts, this venue may just see that streak snapped and 3/1 is an attractive price to chance.
3pts - Florian Wirtz 1+ shot on target - 17/20 (LiveScore/ BetMGM)
1.5pts - Over 3.5 Manchester United cards - 21/10 (Paddy Power/ Sky Bet)
0.5pts - Diego Dalot to be carded - 3/1 (Ladbrokes/ Coral)
Total staked - 5pts
Matt Hill is Odds Now's Head of Content and leads our digital operation, while also offering his insight as a tipster across darts and football.
Having worked in the industry for the best part of a decade, including extended stints with Betfred and LiveScore, Matt joined the project in May 2024 with the sole aim of making Odds Now a key player in the betting content space.
He has also forged a reputation as a respected darts tipster, landing numerous three-figure outright winners over the years, while his love for lower league football also helps him pick out the odd obscure winner in that space.
When not at the editorial desk, Matt enjoys travelling the country supporting his beloved Carlisle United FC, chucking a few arrows and spending time with his young family.
Matt Hill is Odds Now's Head of Content and leads our digital operation, while also offering his insight as a tipster across darts and football.
Having worked in the industry for the best part of a decade, including extended stints with Betfred and LiveScore, Matt joined the project in May 2024 with the sole aim of making Odds Now a key player in the betting content space.
He has also forged a reputation as a respected darts tipster, landing numerous three-figure outright winners over the years, while his love for lower league football also helps him pick out the odd obscure winner in that space.
When not at the editorial desk, Matt enjoys travelling the country supporting his beloved Carlisle United FC, chucking a few arrows and spending time with his young family.
Matt's p/l
7 Days
30 Days
Year 2025
🇩🇪 Florian Wirtz is yet to register a goal or assist in the Premier League this season, as well documented. This is despite having 9 shots and creating 11 chances. His 20 combined shots and chances created are the most of any player yet to score or assist in the competition
