
Fri, 30 Jan 2026
Manchester United host Fulham on Sunday afternoon in a 2pm GMT kick-off at Old Trafford. Fulham sit just three points outside the top five, while United have now firmly entered the conversation for Champions League qualification.
Odds Now football tipster Terry Foord breaks down the key angles and betting tips for the big game that could provide a memorable result for either team.
Manchester United come into this match looking to cement their place in fourth, with both Liverpool and Chelsea applying pressure from behind. The impact of Michael Carrick has been immediate, with back-to-back statement wins over Arsenal and Manchester City propelling optimism around Old Trafford.
Carrick could hardly have faced a tougher opening pair of fixtures, and with Crystal Palace, West Ham and Everton all to come, the Red Devils can now realistically set their sights higher. While a title charge would still be unrealistic, securing Champions League qualification would represent a major step forward and a strong platform for next season.
Fulham’s campaign has been something of a quiet success. They may not feel like a team on a strong run, yet they sit just one win away from the top five. That position has been driven by three victories in their last four matches and a solid away record, ranking fifth in the away form table. Marco Silva continues to extract maximum value from his squad.
However, some caution is warranted. Fulham’s away wins have come against sides such as West Ham and Burnley, while tougher tests have produced a draw at Crystal Palace and defeat to Leeds. Their away expected goals (xG) figure sits below 1.0 — the fourth worst in the league — while their expected goals against (xGA) of 1.8 ranks ninth-worst. Those numbers suggest they may struggle when facing stronger opposition.
The reverse fixture in August ended in a 1-1 draw at Craven Cottage. Prior to that, Manchester United dominated this match-up, winning eight of the last ten Premier League meetings, with one draw and one defeat.
Fulham’s sole win in that ten-game run came at Old Trafford in February 2024. Goal trends are mixed. Four of the last five meetings have finished under 2.5 goals, although three of those were at Craven Cottage.
At Old Trafford, six of the last ten have gone over 2.5 goals. Notably, Fulham have scored in nine of their last ten visits to Old Trafford across all competitions.
I expect Manchester United to take all three points here, but with prices around 4/7, there is better value elsewhere in the markets.
United are averaging 5.5 shots on target per match this season, with Bryan Mbuemo (27) and Matheus Cunha (23) accounting for nearly half of that total between them. Mbuemo has been extremely consistent — registering at least one shot on target in his last twelve matches and two or more in three of his last four.
I’m backing Mbuemo to record 2+ shots on target once again. In the bet builder, I’ll also add Fulham to receive the most cards. Fulham rank fourth-worst for away cards this season, picking up 31 yellows on the road, compared to United’s 15 at home.
2pts – Bryan Mbuemo 2+ shots on target – 13/8 (Bet365)
1pt – Man United win, both teams to score, Man United most shots on target & Fulham most cards – 5/1 (Bet365)
0.5pts – Correct score 2-1 – 8/1 (Bet365)
All prices correct at the time of writing. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Terry is a sports writer and tipster with two decades of betting industry experience, most recently featuring a long stint with Punters Lounge.
A keen follower of darts, snooker, football and many other sports, Terry loves getting creative to try and find an edge and particularly enjoys trying to factor the mental side of sport into his punting.
Away from the desk, he is also a long-suffering West Ham fan.
Terry is a sports writer and tipster with two decades of betting industry experience, most recently featuring a long stint with Punters Lounge.
A keen follower of darts, snooker, football and many other sports, Terry loves getting creative to try and find an edge and particularly enjoys trying to factor the mental side of sport into his punting.
Away from the desk, he is also a long-suffering West Ham fan.
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