Non-League betting tips: Matthew O'Regan's weekend selections
Fri, 19 Sep 2025
Fri, 19 Sep 2025
If you couldn’t tell by now – I LOVE Non-League.
When my own team aren’t ruining my weekend or midweek, there is nothing better than heading down to a local game and having a few jugs of lager with your mates. It can be unpredictable and throw up some random results, but that’s why I love it.
In this latest ode to the smaller divisions, I have no less than SEVEN wagers for you. So, let's get into it!
Also, it's worth pointing out now that all quoted prices are available with Bet365 – the kings of non-league markets.
Morecambe fans can be forgiven for simply feeling grateful to still have a club. The disastrous reign of Jason Whittingham nearly drove the Shrimps to the brink, but with the Panjab Warriors now in charge, a new – if turbulent – era has begun.
Their first major call was to part ways with the steady hand of Derek Adams and place their faith in rookie boss Ashvir Singh Johal. Unsurprisingly, amid ownership upheaval, a major squad overhaul and uncertainty on and off the pitch, Morecambe’s matches have descended into chaos.
They sit bottom of the table on just four points, though they’ve played three fewer games than many of their rivals. Goals have flown in at both ends during their six fixtures, which are averaging four per game: seven scored, 17 conceded. Five of those six outings have gone over 2.5 goals – the lone exception being a 0-2 defeat to Woking.
If Singh Johal’s side are to claw their way to safety, Wealdstone will be one of the teams they’ll be targeting. The Stones made a bright start and currently sit ninth, but Neil Gibson’s men are still widely tipped to drift down the table.
Their games have been equally open – 14 scored and 14 conceded across nine fixtures, with only one clean sheet (a 2-0 opening-day win over Truro) and only one blank (a 0-1 loss to Carlisle). Seven of their nine matches have produced over 2.5 goals – as have all three on the road.
I originally had AFC Fylde as a single, with Scarborough double chance and over 1 goal – but both have been backed in, so I’m going with the double.
Fylde sit second in the table, collecting 10 points from a possible 12 at home. Craig Mahon’s squad boasts real EFL quality in Danny Mayor and Ryan Colclough, and it shows: the Coasters are the league’s top scorers with 20 goals, finding the net in every game and hitting 2+ in seven of nine. The only exceptions were a 1-0 win over Bedford and a 2-1 defeat at Scarborough.
Leamington, meanwhile, sit mid-table in 12th after a steady start but look vulnerable away. They’ve managed just two points on the road – opening draws at Curzon Ashton and struggling Peterborough Sports – before three straight defeats at Kidderminster (3-2), Spennymoor (2-0), and FA Cup exit at Step Three side Alvechurch (3-0).
Now, facing free-scoring Fylde having shipped eight in their last three away games is a daunting prospect.
Scarborough are just behind Fylde in third and have been flawless at home, winning all four games. Jonathan Greening’s side have scored 2+ in each of those, sweeping aside the aforementioned Coasters, Peterborough Sports, Southport, and Buxton respectively. Their only blank came on opening day away at defensively sound Kidderminster.
Oxford City, in contrast, have been leaky at the back. Only bottom side Peterborough Sports have a worse defensive record, with the Hoops conceding 16 goals and keeping just one clean sheet. They’ve allowed 2+ in three of four away games – the exception a surprise 1-1 draw at Kidderminster – and also fell 3-2 to Step Four side Westbury United in the FA Cup. The defensive issues are hard to ignore here.
Chester and goals has been a reliable combo for me, and I’m backing it again this weekend as they head to Darlington.
The Seals have made a poor start, with pressure mounting on Calum McIntyre as his side sit 17th. Home form has held up – two wins and two draws – but away from home it’s been dire.
Only Southport have a worse record, with Chester taking one point from four games, losing three, and shipping 11 goals. All four away fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals, and yet the market continues to price it generously.
Darlington haven’t been much better but are just above Chester on goal difference. Their matches are averaging 3.5 goals, with six of eight clearing the 2.5 line – the exceptions being two 1-1 draws against King’s Lynn and Hereford.
Two sides who can’t defend but carry a threat going forward – the perfect recipe for goals (which of course means 0-0 incoming…).
It feels like I’m repeating myself, but Denise keep pulling me back into this angle!
Dover have made a strong return to National League South, sitting in the final playoff spot. Their games average over three goals, with 14 scored and 12 conceded in eight. Six of those have gone over 2.5, plus a 4-1 cup defeat to fellow Step Two side Farnborough.
Hampton & Richmond, tipped for relegation, have been one of the season’s surprises. Alan Julian’s side sit third and are chasing the top two. The Beavers have been damn good in front of goal with 13 scored, and their last five matches have all seen BTTS.
Yes, I’m backing against Dagenham & Redbridge again. Let's be frank. They are sh*te – even if they are two teams.
I was on them last week, tipping Worthing win and over 1 goal, and was in attendance as the Rebels strolled to a 5-2 victory. The Daggers were woeful: lazy, disinterested, with defenders parting like the Red Sea. Lee Bradbury copped heavy vitriol from the away end, and the trip to Dorking will be one they dread.
Billed as (undeserved) title favourites, Dagenham instead sit in the relegation zone, staring down back-to-back drops. Their defence is the worst in the league – 17 conceded, at least two in six of eight games.
Dorking have been patchy but solid at Meadowbank, where Marc White’s return to the dugout saw a 2-1 win over AFC Totton. It was the third time in four home matches they’ve scored twice or more, including a 7-2 dismantling of Wingate & Finchley. The Wanderers carry a real threat here against a Daggers side in freefall.
The underlying data for Weston-Super-Mare ticks every box. The Seagulls are flying in second, with six straight league wins – including scalps against recently relegated Maidenhead and Dagenham & Redbridge, plus playoff finalists Maidstone. At home they’ve been rock solid, taking 10 points from 12 and are yet to concede in front of their own fans.
Chesham, by contrast, sit 14th after a bright start quickly fizzled out. Since winning their opening two, they’re winless in seven across all competitions despite a soft schedule against the likes of Tonbridge Angels, Horsham, AFC Totton and Bath. Just three goals in six league games highlights their struggle, and a trip to high-flying Weston looks a daunting task.
A rare Step Three bet for me, but I’m all aboard the Alvechurch train. The Church have won four on the bounce, including an eye-catching 3-0 FA Cup win over Step Two Leamington.
Tim Flowers’ side look like they’re having a real go this year and have been excellent on the road, taking seven points from three away games while conceding just once.
Bury Town sit tenth after a steady start, but the numbers flatter them. All three of their wins have come against the current bottom three, each by narrow margins. Against stronger opposition, this looks a big test.
1pt - Morecambe vs Wealdstone – Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 match goals – 21/20
1.5pts - AFC Fylde vs Leamington & Scarborough vs Oxford City – AFC Fylde and Scarborough Win and Over 1 match goal double – 12/5
1.5pts - Darlington vs Chester- Over 2.5 match goals – 4/5
1pt - Dover vs Hampton and Richmond – Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 match oals – 5/6
1.5pts - Dorking vs Dagenham & Redbridge – Dorking over 1 goal – 4/5
1pt - Weston Super Mare vs Chesham – Weston Super Mare win - 4/5
1pt - Bury Town vs Alvechurch – Alvechurch win – 7/4
Total staked - 8.5pts
Despite only being in his early 20s, Matthew O'Regan has wasted little time making a name for himself as a sound footballing judge.
With a strong social media following, gained as a result of his uncanny ability to repeatedly land big-priced winners, Matthew now shares his insights on the beautiful game – and how to profit on it – as his profession.
He credits most of his betting skill to working in a bookmaker shop as a youngster, seeing the silly mistakes most punters make which inspired him to try and attack things from a different angle.
When he's not scouring markets and writing columns, Matthew follows Brighton and his local non-league club Worthing.
Despite only being in his early 20s, Matthew O'Regan has wasted little time making a name for himself as a sound footballing judge.
With a strong social media following, gained as a result of his uncanny ability to repeatedly land big-priced winners, Matthew now shares his insights on the beautiful game – and how to profit on it – as his profession.
He credits most of his betting skill to working in a bookmaker shop as a youngster, seeing the silly mistakes most punters make which inspired him to try and attack things from a different angle.
When he's not scouring markets and writing columns, Matthew follows Brighton and his local non-league club Worthing.
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