Wolves vs Aston Villa betting tips | Premier League | Match Preview | February 27th 2026

Another Premier League weekend kicks off on Friday night from Molineux, where Wolves host Aston Villa in what promises to be an intriguing West Midlands derby.

Odds Now football tipster Terry Foord takes an analytical look at the opening game this weekend in the Premier League and offers up his best bets.

Wolves vs Aston Villa betting preview – Friday, February 27th 2026

Key Stats & Analysis

Despite relegation looking increasingly inevitable, Wolves are still battling and will be desperate to claim local bragging rights with a derby victory. However, with just two points from their previous five matches, the lowest goals scored in the league (18) and the second-highest number conceded (51 — only Burnley have shipped more), they know this will be a difficult task.

Rob Edwards’ side will at least have home advantage; the venue of their only league wins this season, against West Ham. Their home xG sits at just 1.1, while their xGA is over 1.7, highlighting issues at both ends of the pitch. Even so, recent draws at home to Newcastle and, more impressively, the 2-2 draw with league leaders Arsenal show there is still fight in this team and that they can take points.

Aston Villa, meanwhile, sit just three points clear of Manchester United in third place. Despite their lofty league position, recent form has dipped. Defeats to Brentford at home and draws against Bournemouth and Leeds have slowed momentum, while their FA Cup exit in a 3-1 loss to Newcastle, despite taking the lead, was another setback.

Unai Emery’s side have a favourable run of fixtures approaching, with several winnable matches on the horizon — starting with this trip to Molineux. Goals have dried up recently, though, with under 2.5 goals landing in each of Villa’s last seven Premier League matches. That trend will concern Emery.

Head-to-Head

Aston Villa hold the edge in recent meetings, winning three of the last four. All those victories came at Villa Park; however, the most recent meeting at Molineux ended in a 2-0 win for Wolves (February 2025). Wolves also boast a strong home record in this fixture, with three wins and a draw from the last four on their own turf.

Goals have been scarce in this derby. Over 2.5 goals have landed just once in the last seven encounters overall and only once in the last five at Molineux. Coupled with Villa’s recent low-scoring run, another tight contest looks likely.

Read More: Arsenal's Premier League title odds drift after Wolves comeback

Wolves vs Aston Villa betting angles

Wolves’ solid home record in this fixture is noteworthy, but historical data can sometimes be misleading. Squad strength, confidence levels and league context all point towards a cautious affair.

The bet that stands out most is under 2.5 goals. Villa’s recent matches have lacked attacking fluency, while Wolves rarely contribute heavily to the scoring column.

At a bigger price, a correct score of 1-1 also appeals. This has the feel of a game Villa control for long spells but struggle to kill off — like Wolves’ recent draw with Arsenal — leaving the door open for a late equaliser.

Terry Foord's best bets for Wolves vs Aston Villa

2pts – Under 2.5 goals – 19/20 (William Hill)

1pt – Correct score 1-1 – 13/2 (Bet365)

Total staked - 3pts

All prices correct at the time of writing. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.