World of Wagers: Global football betting tips for Saturday, February 14th 2026

Odds Now’s resident football data expert Felix Morson-Pate is back with his latest World Of Wagers column, where he heads on a quest for value across some of football’s more obscure leagues.

Felix’s best football bets for Saturday, February 14th 2026

These selections are all based on deriving value from my own ratings, which are based on a combination of underlying performance data and market opening and closing lines to determine the true strengths of teams, both in general and in their home/away splits.

All prices quoted are with Bet365. Let’s get into this week’s three picks!

Selection #1: Over 3 Asian Goals Marseille-Strasbourg - 39/40

Roberto de Zerbi may be out of the home side’s dugout but the way they play and the firepower they possess in attack will likely ensure that when Strasbourg visit on Saturday, the action is still flowing – and I’d expect both sides to contribute in that aspect.

The two sides’ matches average 3.48 and 2.91 goals respectively across 21 Ligue 1 fixtures so far and with the likes of Joaquin Panichelli, Martial Godo and Mason Greenwood on the pitch, the strengths very much lie on the attacking end.

The only concern here is that Marseille move away from the kamikaze 3-4-2-1 employed recently by RDZ, which saw Timothy Weah feature as a very attacking RWB. Even so, the natural inclinations of both sets of players I think means we see a proper end to end affair

Selection #2: Heracles DNB vs NAC Breda - 9/10

It’s a clash of the bottom two in the Dutch Eredivisie this weekend, with both sides realistically needing a win to maintain any hopes of escaping the bottom three.

Looking at the underlying numbers at face value, it would appear the value is actually with the away side, as their performance based metrics would suggest they should be around seven spots higher, whilst Heracles would only be bumped up a single position. But it’s the home/away splits that point me towards this one.

A whopping 13/17 of Heracles’ points have been on their home turf, and just 4/16 for NAC Breda, crucially all four of which have been draws, which would see us get our money back here. Add that to similar kinds of splits on the expected goals numbers and it’s a line I’m very comfortable to take here

Selection #3: Montana DNB vs Septemvri Sofia - 9/10

We head to Bulgaria for our final selection in another bottom of the table clash. The simple fact of the matter is that both sides are struggling to score goals and win games of late, no wins for either in their last five overall, nor their last five home/away games.

It’s likely to be a turgid affair with maybe the odd goal in it even if they’re both rather leaky, I think they just lack the attacking output to capitalise on one another’s defensive frailties.

With all that in mind, I’m happy to just take the draw out of the equation and back the ever so slightly less poor recent form of Montana here to go and grind out some form of result.